We are five games in and the league is starting to take shape. A top five of Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Tottenham and Manchester City (not necessarily in its current order) is perhaps likely to be the same at the end of season.
There is always the danger of sounding arrogant by omitting or even including teams in a list of rivals. But let’s deal with omissions first. Chelsea and Manchester United, as far as I am concerned are our rivals for two games plus cup draws, respectively, a season . We’re deluded if we believe we are anywhere near these teams.
United are looking frail defensively and Chelsea imperious, but things change and United flatter to deceive. But if the likes of Essien stay fit, it’s difficult to look further than Chelsea for the title. Arsenal, too, are probably beyond our reach. If Fabregas keeps up his stunning form then Arsenal can be title-contenders. Whether or not they will suffer their usual spring-time capitulation is to be seen. At the moment you would fancy Chelsea, United and Arsenal to make up the top three.
As Champions League newcomers – even with experience in Europe – we will struggle to find the balance between domestic and European affairs. There is the danger that if City make the top four this season they will have the clout to attract the world’s elite, and cement themselves there. We shouldn’t concern ourselves with this. Getting out of the Champions League group stages and a top four finish would represent a wonderful season, but a fifth or six place finish in the league and a decent cup run wouldn’t be a disaster. It doesn’t have to all be up until we reach the top – teams do fluctuate.
So how are our rivals doing? These are Manchester City, Liverpool and to a lesser extent Everton and Aston Villa.
Manchester City
So far we haven’t seen anything to worry about, although they have just gone above us in the table by beating a Wigan side we lost to. They have demonstrated their ability to get stuck in and pick up points against stubborn opposition, but have hardly set the world alight and have dropped points too. They out-played a Liverpool side that we will come to, continuing their quite impressive form against the big sides.
In that regard we are quite similar. I often fancy us to pick up points against Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal and not Wolves, Wigan and West Brom. In terms of styles of play, we are a far more attacking team. With Palacios out of favour, we are currently playing with only one defensive-minded midfielder in Huddlestone. City, on the other hand, have Barry, De Jong and Toure all in their starting line-up. As we saw when they came to the Lane: they defend, we attack. They are bound to hit full-stride eventually, are they will probably be our fiercest rivals to fourth spot.
Liverpool
Liverpool were dreadful against United yesterday. Meireles, a more defensive-minded midfielder, played in an advance role behind a fatigued Torres. Cole looked out of form, Poulson out of depth, and Konchesky I really don’t believe is Liverpool class. Gerrard is still a danger player, but is he getting passed it? Again, we will see. I can’t see him playing on like Scholes, unless he changes his game dramatically. Liverpool, however, shouldn’t be underestimated. A few seasons ago they nearly won the title after a year of stunning form. The midfield trio of Mascherano, Alonso and Gerrard was unrivalled in its effectiveness. Whether they can hit their stride under Hodgson remains to be seen, but you do wonder where their goals are coming from.
Tottenham
We are our own worst enemies. If we can cut out mistakes, lapses in concentration and convince one of our strikers to score a couple of goals, we can go far. We have hardly set the world on fire ourselves, but given the disappointing starts of Liverpool and Man City we are well in there after five games. The tests against the big boys are overrated, we need to pick up points from the smaller teams to cement out place in the top four – after all, there are more of them, and thus more points to pick up.
Next update in five games time. Plus I might have a ponder about Villa and Everton – seems as I have been cheeky and virtually ignored them.